Everybody talks about it; it raises a lot of questions. Is the market too high? Where will it go next? Is it due for a fall? How will the economy affect it? (Or politics, or world affairs, or astrology?)
Many people seem to be referring to a major market average or index when they talk about the market. But the investment universe is far broader than those. The individual pieces may have little to do with what is happening with the major averages.
- For example, even when the averages are near all time highs, stocks in some industries or companies may be half or less of their own highs from years ago.
- The United States is not the only advanced economy in the world with a stock market. Some overseas markets have done very little for a decade, and are not close to high points.
- Certain holdings have shown a tendency to go the opposite direction from the major averages.
- Even with in the US stock market, some holdings appear to be bargains even when highflyers have gone off the charts.
Instead of asking those questions about “the market,” we think it makes more sense to always be asking these questions:
- Where are the best bargains in the investment universe? We should be looking at them.
- Where are the stampedes? We should avoid them.
- Is there a way to secure reliable income in today’s environment?
This is a way to bring the focus to something useful, in our opinion. Clients, if you would like to talk about this or anything else, please email us or call.