portfolio management

We the Imperfect People

“We the People of the United States, in Order to form a more perfect Union…”

So reads the Preamble to the Constitution, which frames the purpose of one of our nation’s fundamental documents.

The authors didn’t necessarily mean the plan was flawless. We’re not constitutional scholars, but a quick search will reveal that the word “perfect”—at that time, used like that—probably meant something more like “complete,” “confident,” or “whole.”

Today, the Fourth of July still commemorates something like this, the idea of coming together. In many communities, the young and young at heart gather outside to play with sparklers or in sprinklers. We might remember eating a slightly burnt hotdog a parent made us or huddling together to watch fireworks light up the horizon.

Scenes like this may very well drum up feelings of unity. While some may feel this same sense of pride for the ideals of this country all year round, some may be more apprehensive. We know that at the mere mention of politics, tensions can start to build. Sometimes it can feel as if, anywhere we turn, we’re being asked to choose sides and being pitted against each other.

How can we find common ground in such a divided union?

Each party, whether we’re talking political party or neighborhood block party, is made up of the same thing: people. Each party is made up of parents and children, students and teachers, doctors and delivery drivers. You get the idea. We are people who are probably after similar things. Aren’t most of us seeking to live happy, fulfilled lives? Wouldn’t most of us prefer a safe and stable environment to thrive in?

We all want a chance at a bright future.

When there is political tension or big political change on the way, it’s not uncommon for clients to start wondering how to make their portfolios “politics-proof.” Anxiety is a normal response to change, but a look back at history can remind us that the outlook in this country is generally okay following each major political shift. Not “perfect” results or glorious returns—but generally okay.

The dust from elections and major events does eventually settle. And we keep at it. We are all here, hard at work, in the name of improving this grand experiment, together. The beautiful thing about democracy is that it is always evolving.

The words written by white-haired men almost 250 years ago described a world that has grown, evolved, and developed in ways they could never have foreseen. The Constitution may end with a period, but you better believe the story of this country is one we’re always writing. There is always going to be room for improvement, and we can do it together.

The markets will be closed for this Fourth of July, and we’ll be taking a little break along with many of our fellow Americans. We wish everyone the best. May we all be surrounded by good food, great company, and diverse experiences. Life is richer when we share what we have.

What in your life can we help you celebrate? Call or email if you would like to chat, anytime.


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Putting on Our “Listening Ears”

Listening to one another is a gift that costs nothing but means everything. We know that our time and attention are precious resources, which is why our team here at 228 Main always has our “listening ears” on🙏


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Oh, the Prossibilities!

The human brain is amazing… except when it isn’t. How else do you think the world ended up with a Shark Week?! Low-probability events, fear, fixation, and how to clear things up—in this video.

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It’s Second Look—and Second Opinion!—Season

graphic shows the words "'Tis the Season" inside a magnifying glass

Clients, the markets are at a low point. It’s a prime time to revisit our holdings! Let’s take a second look. 

To be clear, portfolio reviews are part and parcel of our regular business. But these times of churn and change are a great opportunity to look more closely—and try to make sense of everything given the context. 

Conversations with some of you lately have inspired some changes. Could it be time to garner tax losses and take a different approach with some of your resources going forward? 

Our goal at 228 Main is to grow your buckets. We believe the better off you are, probably the better off we will be down the road. That’s enough for us to review and comment on your plans and planning, as well as your investment holdings and accounts. 

While it’s Second Look Season for us in the shop, could it be Second Opinion Season for anyone in your life? It could be you know folks who are paying fees for investment management when their investments don’t seem to be managed at all. Does anyone in your life have long-term investments stuck in stagnant short-term holdings? 

I often say I’m in business to talk all day. If you have questions about your holdings, I might as well be talking to you and your loved ones! And clients, please know that we have nothing to lose by your seeking a second opinion of your own. All the power to you: you are the boss of what you do with your wealth. (We seem to get all the business we deserve, and none that we don’t.) 

No matter where our resources land, remember that the markets go up and down. We won’t tell fairy tales about “minimizing risk” or getting market returns without enduring the inevitable fluctuations. We will not ignore that the price of so-called “safety” is often the loss of potential future gains. 

But we do believe in striving for long-term total returns. So we live with volatility. No waves, no voyage. No rain, no flowers. 

Clients, when you have questions about your situation, please write or call. If you know someone who would like to chat with us, let them know Second Opinion Season is in full swing, now through year-end! 

Thank you all, for everything. 


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It’s Second Look—and Second Opinion!—Season 228Main.com Presents: The Best of Leibman Financial Services

This text is available at https://www.228Main.com/.

Lessons from the Open Road: Just Change the Tire

photo shows a car with a flat tire on the side of the road

As spring fades and summer draws near, some of us are gearing up for road trips. (Although we know gas prices might affect our plans!) We’re thinking lately about life on the open road—and what lessons it might offer investors. 

Imagine you’re going along a winding road, and the car gets a flat tire. There are some choices available here. Some might hop out and swap the flat for the spare. Some might get a hold of a car service or a trusted friend in the area and have them change the tire. These approaches at least get you back on the road. Reasonable enough, right? 

But there are other choices available. We could, for instance, slash the other three tires. We could dump a can of gasoline on the whole darn thing and light it up! We could declare it a lost cause and walk away. We could take the flat as the confirmation we were looking for that this journey was a mistake after all.  

We can abandon the endeavor. 

It sounds outrageous, given the facts of the matter. The trip was your plan: you got in the car, loaded the supplies, and set out. Sure, this moment could be a fabulous excuse to turn back, but if that’s the case, it seems to be more about the driver’s relationship to the journey—and not their relationship to the setback. 

It’s not black and white, of course. There are approaches that we might employ along the way that we choose before we make the bigger, more crucial decisions. We might kick the flat tire. We might shake our fists at the sky. We might call someone to say that we are frustrated or scared or sad. Yes, you bet! Sometimes we need to vent stress out of our bodies before we make decisions. 

But how many endeavors do we deny a fighting chance when we refuse to just change the tire and get back on the road? 

You can go the whole journey this way. It will get you where you’re going. 

Clients, maybe you can already hear the lessons for managing a portfolio and working with downs as well as the ups. We let our resources carry us, for the long haul. 

Want to talk more about this—or anything else? Call or write, anytime. 


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Lessons from the Open Road: Just Change the Tire 228Main.com Presents: The Best of Leibman Financial Services

This text is available at https://www.228Main.com/.

Portfolio Themes: Spring 2022 Updates

graphic shows blooming white flowers and text reading "portfolio themes: spring 2022 updates"

In our portfolio management, we try to pick and choose our spots. We’re investing for the long term, after all. We are not indexers; we invest in individual companies for their unique characteristics and the potential behind their story. We avoid knee-jerk reactions to any day-to-day news.  

Sometimes, though, the daily news covers an issue that’s big enough to linger. Much of the news cycle lately has been dedicated to the war in Ukraine. The implications for the global economy are profound and have a direct impact on our work. 

The war may be accelerating trends that were already there, but now they are more pressing. 

OIL, ENERGY, FOOD, & BEYOND 

Maybe you’ve noticed at the gas station, but one of the big impacts is the price of oil. In the short term, we foresee great profits for oil companies, but skyrocketing oil prices and energy uncertainty have also renewed interest in the next energy revolution. Solar power and electric vehicles have been on their way for a long time, but the world needs them more urgently than ever before. 

These issues are interconnected with trends in agriculture. Ukraine and Russia are not only both food producers: they’re even bigger producers of fertilizers, supplies, and equipment. Agricultural commodities were already on the rise before war broke out, so food producers around the world were already investing heavily in new planting. The journey ahead will be interesting for even “boring” food production and distribution companies, but greater profits may be rapidly approaching. 

THE IMPACT OF INTEREST RATES 

Those rising prices have energized more interest in durable commodities such as copper and gold, which we’ve been following in our shop for a long time

But the double whammy of rising interest rates and rising materials costs has a cooling effect on the housing industry, which we have been easing out of by steps. The shortage in the nation’s housing supply persists—and probably will for a spell. For now, homebuilders are a longer-term, lower-priority investment for us. 

WHAT THE PANDEMIC MEANS FOR TECH 

In times of strife, investors tend to seek comfort and safety, so more volatile sectors such as technology are starting to come back down to earth. We believe this may create buying opportunities in software and internet companies, which are less vulnerable to high interest rates and commodity prices. (They are often light on debt and low on material costs.) 

Even as COVID-19 continues across the globe, some areas of life have become more manageable. The air is clearing a little for airlines and travel stocks, although we are more interested in another area of potential: biotech and pharmaceutical companies. While pharmacy stocks may be easing as the pandemic rally subsides, we are looking forward to new breakthroughs in the years ahead. The advances made in the pandemic, we believe, will prove to offer even more applications elsewhere in the future. 

TAKING STOCK 

The world is a complex place. As always, our thinking evolves on a weekly basis through our research process. Our vision, however, stays trained on these longer-term trends—and what they mean for our longer-term plans and planning. 

Clients, want to know what this means for your portfolio? Please email us or call. 


Content in this material is for general information only and not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual.  

Stock investing includes risks, including fluctuating prices and loss of principal. 

The economic forecasts set forth in this material may not develop as predicted and there can be no guarantee that strategies promoted will be successful. 


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This text is available at https://www.228Main.com/.

Going Shopping for Socks

The path to variety matters. In this week’s message, Mark’s got a hot take: it’s a lesson from sock shopping. Confused? Meet you in the video.


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What Fades and What Stays


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Exploring the Prossibilities!


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